The Middle East perspective: Findings from the CRUX Eighth Annual Report – From Insight to Foresight

This article focuses on three interlinked themes that are particularly relevant to the Middle East:

  • Contract type and administration, including the widespread use of bespoke and amended standard forms
  • Cashflow and late‑payment pressures, especially on megaprojects
  • The impact of scale, with a high concentration of projects above the US$1bn threshold

Together, these factors shape a dispute landscape that remains distinctive, even as some global trends point toward improvement.

The Middle East perspective: Findings from the CRUX Eighth Annual Report – From Insight to Foresight

The Middle East continues to be one of the world’s most active regions for large‑scale construction and engineering project delivery.

It is also a region where contractual complexity, payment practices and project scale intersect most sharply. The CRUX Eighth Annual Report, drawing on analysis of more than 2,200 projects worldwide, highlights how dispute causation in the Middle East differs from global patterns — and where risks are becoming more concentrated.

The Middle East in the CRUX Insight dataset

The Middle East accounts for a substantial share of the CRUX dataset, with 531 projects analysed across 12 countries and an average project value significantly above the global mean. A defining characteristic of the regional profile is the prevalence of megaprojects, many of which involve complex delivery structures, multinational joint ventures and bespoke contracting approaches.

CRUX data shows that dispute frequency and intensity tend to increase with project scale — a factor that disproportionately affects the Middle East.

While there are encouraging signs of improvement in some areas — particularly contract awareness and recent megaproject outcomes — the data reinforces the need for disciplined contracting and robust commercial governance.

Construction contract types: bespoke dominates, amendments amplify risk

CRUX analysis indicates that predominantly bespoke contracts form the largest single contract category globally within its dataset, and this pattern is particularly pronounced in the Middle East. While bespoke arrangements are often necessary for complex, first‑of‑a‑kind schemes, the data shows a strong correlation between bespoke contracting and higher incidence of contract interpretation disputes. Along with greater reliance on administration‑heavy mechanisms and longer extensions of time on distressed projects (on average 80% in the Middle East compared to 58.3% for the rest of the World)

Importantly, CRUX does not conclude that bespoke contracts cause disputes. Rather, bespoke contracts are most often used on high‑complexity projects, where interfaces, scope development and risk transfer are inherently more challenging.

CRUX analysis also highlights that extensive amendments to standard forms — common in the Middle East — can introduce ambiguity, untested clauses and unintended consequences. Where delivery teams lack deep familiarity with the amended contract, disputes over interpretation and administration become more likely.

Contract administration and interpretation in the Middle East

Historically within the CRUX dataset, the Middle East has recorded higher levels of contract interpretation and contract administration disputes than several other regions (22.6% and 20.5% respectively, in the Middle East compared to 14.2% and 15.4% for the rest of the World). Data suggests that this gap has narrowed in recent years, but interpretation issues remain a prominent driver of claims.

Contributing factors identified in CRUX include:

  • The use of bespoke or heavily amended contracts
  • Language and translation challenges on multinational projects
  • Inconsistent application of contract mechanisms across joint venture partners

Even where contract wording is clear, inconsistent administration can undermine the intent of the agreement.

Key Middle East CRUX findings

80
%

average extension of time on Middle East projects.

22.6
%

of Middle East projects grapple with contract interpretation

20.5
%

of Middle East projects face contract administration disputes

Cashflow and late payment: a persistent regional pressure on construction projects

One of the most distinctive findings in CRUX relates to cashflow and payment disputes. In the Middle East, these issues affect a significantly higher proportion of projects than the global average, with 25.8% of projects in dispute being affected by this issue compared to 11.1%.for the rest of the World.

CRUX highlights several structural factors behind this trend:

  • The absence of payment security legislation in many Middle Eastern jurisdictions
  • Long supply chains with multiple tiers of subcontractors
  • Employer‑driven payment practices embedded in local market norms

As global financing conditions have tightened, CRUX data shows that cashflow disputes have become more frequent, even as other causes of claims show signs of decline.

Megaprojects: where contract and cashflow risks converge

The Middle East has one of the highest concentrations of megaprojects worldwide, and CRUX shows that cashflow and contract‑related disputes are amplified at this scale.

On megaprojects in the region:

  • Cashflow and payment issues affect a higher proportion of these projects, than smaller schemes
  • Contract interpretation disputes become more prevalent
  • Schedule impacts often outweigh cost impacts as the primary area of contention

CRUX notes that, despite these pressures, there are early signs of improved outcomes on more recent megaprojects, including shorter average extensions of time, specifically those projects with planned completion dates of 2020 and later. However, many large schemes remain ongoing, and the full dispute impact may not yet be visible in the data.

What the CRUX Insight data suggests for Middle East projects

From a regional perspective, several practical lessons emerge:

  • Contract choice must align with delivery reality

Selecting FIDIC, NEC or a bespoke form is only the starting point; alignment with scope maturity, interfaces and governance is critical.

  • Amendments require discipline

Extensive bespoke clauses should be assessed not only for legal robustness, but for operational clarity and manageability.

  • Administration capability is decisive

Strong contract management processes and trained teams reduce the likelihood that contractual issues escalate into disputes.

  • Cashflow is a systemic risk

In the absence of statutory protection, proactive measures such as escrow arrangements or project bank accounts can help mitigate exposure.

Conclusion

The CRUX Eighth Annual Report shows that the Middle East remains a region where contract complexity, cashflow pressure and project scale intersect more sharply than almost anywhere else in the world. While there are encouraging signs of improvement in some areas — particularly contract awareness and recent megaproject outcomes — the data reinforces the need for disciplined contracting and robust commercial governance.

For owners, contractors and investors operating in the Middle East, the message from CRUX is clear: contracts and payment practices are not peripheral issues. They are central determinants of project performance, risk and resilience.

About the authors

Nicola Caley has more than 25 years of experience in the construction industry, with more than 15 years focused on strategic claims management, claims determination, contractual claims preparation and defence, and dispute resolution.

She is a legal and project professional with an MBA in Major Infrastructure Delivery (completing 2026), an LLM in Construction Law and Arbitration, a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Arbitrators, and an RICS-accredited mediator

View Nicola's profile

Hilal Itani is a Partner at HKA’s Riyadh office, Saudi Arabia, bringing over 24 years of specialized experience in claims preparation, defence, and alternative dispute resolution.

Recognized as one of the few dual experts in the region with deep expertise in both delay and quantum assessments, Hilal is trusted to deliver strategic solutions for some of the most complex and high-stakes projects in the Kingdom.

View Hilal's profile

CRUX is HKA’s integrated global research programme analysing the causes of claims and disputes on capital and infrastructure projects worldwide.

For further insights, explore the CRUX Insight report and interactive dashboard.


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